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Category: Mortgage News

Mortgage News analysis and perspective from National Mortgage News, an award-winning comprehensive digital resource serving the entire residential mortgage. Fidelity Home Group Mortgage News provides up to the minute mortgage and real estate news including mortgage rates.

MBS Day Ahead: Stronger Start, But Risk Remains With 10yr Auction and Corporate Bonds

Yesterday marked the weakest weekly opener in several months as bonds built on negative momentum following last week’s jobs report and positioned themselves defensively ahead of this week’s Treasury auction cycle.  A strong 3yr auction had essentially no effect on any portion of the yield curve, but today’s 10yr auction could be a different story.  Yields are several bps lower to start the day.  This raises the risk of a bigger negative reaction if the auction is weak (unless bonds undergo a concessionary sell-off in the hours leading up to the 1pm ET auction results).

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Understand Your Options To Avoid Foreclosure

Understand Your Options To Avoid Foreclosure | Simplifying The Market

Even though experts agree there’s no chance of a large-scale foreclosure crisis, there are a number of homeowners who may be coming face-to-face with foreclosure as a possibility. And while the overall percentage of homeowners at risk is decreasing with time (see graph below), that’s little comfort to those individuals who are facing challenges today.Understand Your Options To Avoid Foreclosure | Simplifying The MarketIf you haven’t taken advantage of the forbearance period, it may be time to research and understand your options. It starts with knowing what foreclosure is. Investopedia defines it like this:

Foreclosure is the legal process by which a lender attempts to recover the amount owed on a defaulted loan by taking ownership of and selling the mortgaged property. Typically, default is triggered when a borrower misses a specific number of monthly payments . . .” 

The good news is, there are alternatives available to help you avoid having to go through the foreclosure process, including:

  • Reinstatement
  • Loan modification
  • Deed-in-lieu of foreclosure
  • Short sale

But before you go down any of those paths, it’s worth seeing if you have enough equity in your home to sell it and protect your investment.

Understand Your Options: Sell Your House

Equity is the difference between what you owe on the home and its market value based on factors like price appreciation.

In today’s real estate market, many homeowners have far more equity in their homes than they realize. Over the last year, buyer demand has been high, but housing supply has been low. That’s led to a substantial increase in home values. When prices rise, so does the amount of equity you have in your house.

According to CoreLogic, on average, homeowners gained $33,400 in equity over the last 12 months, and the average equity on mortgaged homes is now $216,000 (see map below):Understand Your Options To Avoid Foreclosure | Simplifying The MarketSo, what does that mean for you? Over the past year, chances are your home’s value and therefore your equity has risen dramatically. If you’ve been in your home for a while, the mortgage payments you’ve made over time chipped away at the balance of your loan. If your home’s current value is higher than what you still owe on your loan, you may be able to use that increase to your advantage.

Frank Martell, President and CEO of CoreLogic, elaborates on how equity can help:

Homeowner equity has more than doubled over the past decade and become a crucial buffer for many weathering the challenges of the pandemic. These gains have become an important financial tool and boosted consumer confidence in the U.S. housing market.”

Don’t Go at It Alone – Lean on Experts for Advice

To find out what your house is worth in today’s market, work with a local real estate professional. We’ll be able to give you an estimate of what your house could sell for based on recent sales of similar homes in your area. Since home prices are still appreciating, you may be able to sell your house to avoid foreclosure.

If you find out that you have to pursue other options, your agent can help with that too. We’ll be able to connect you with other professionals in the industry, like housing counselors who can look into your unique situation and offer advice on next steps if selling isn’t the best alternative.

Bottom Line

If you’re a homeowner facing hardship, let’s connect to explore your options and see if you can sell your house to avoid foreclosure.

Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters Keeping Current Matters

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MBS RECAP: 3 Times in a Row: Auction Week Bringing The Weakness

3 Times in a Row: Auction Week Bringing The Weakness

Bonds have been consolidating in roughly a 17bp range centered on 10yr yields of 1.30%.  During this consolidation phase, yields have hit the ceiling (1.37+) 3 distinct times.  Each of those bounces corresponds with a Treasury auction cycle.  2 of the 3 examples include follow-through momentum from a poorly received jobs report (with this week being one of the 2).  There’s no way to know if the …

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Mortgage Rates Begin The Week Slightly Higher

Mortgage rates moved slightly higher to begin the holiday-shortened week.  With Labor day being a bank holiday, mortgage lenders were closed yesterday despite much of the world remaining open.  Futures and overseas markets thus had some extra time to distance themselves from Friday’s latest levels.  In today’s case, that distance was in an unfriendly direction for rates.

The damage is minimal in the bigger picture.  On average, lenders are quoting the same rates seen last week, but with slightly higher closing costs today.  Most of the weakness in the underlying bond market is centered on US Treasuries as opposed to the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) that serve as the foundation for mortgage rates.  The Treasury-specific weakness is likely due to the presence of several big Treasury auctions this week in addition to heavy corporate bond issuance (which tends to hurt Treasuries more than MBS).

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Home Buying Sentiment Improves Slightly

Consumers felt a little better about the wisdom of buying a home last month than they did in July, although that isn’t saying a lot. Fannie Mae says 32 percent of respondents to its August National Housing Survey (NHS) said it was a good time to buy, up from 28 percent in July. Those who said it was a bad time declined by 3 percentage points to 63 percent, leaving net positive responses at a negative 31 percent, 7 points higher than the prior month but down by 55 points year-over-year.

Seventy-three percent of those surveyed said it was a good time to sell, but this was down from 75 percent in July and marked the second monthly decline. Net positive responses declined to 54 percent, down 1 point from July and 8 points compared to June.

The six questions from the NHS that are used to construct the Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) split evenly between gainers and losers last month and the Index remained flat at 75.7, a 1 point dip from July, and 1.8 points lower than in August 2020.

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CoreLogic: Home Price Gains Expected to Slow to 2.7% by Next Year

Americans are continuing the trend started at the beginning of the pandemic 19 months ago, seeking larger homes in areas with lower density and prices continue to skyrocket for unattached dwellings in those areas. That’s not to say that price gains are moderating in other areas as demand outstrips supply. The company’s Home Price Index (HPI) set another record in July. Over the 12 months ended in July, the HPI increased 18 percent. the largest annual growth in the U.S. index since the series began with the year ended in January 1977 and was 0.8 percentage point higher than in June. The July appreciation of detached properties (19.7 percent) was again the highest measured in the history of the index and was nearly double the 11.6 percent increase in attached properties.

 

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MBS Day Ahead: Short Week Begins With Bonds Testing Boundaries

After being closed for Labor Day yesterday, the bond market is noticeably weaker to start the new week.  In the overnight session alone, yields rose enough to being 10yr yields up to an important technical ceiling at 1.375.  This matches the intraday high from 2 weeks ago and is just under the 1.379 high from 4 weeks ago. 

20210907 open1.png

Incidentally all 3 visits to this ceiling have occurred on Treasury auction days.  To whatever extent “supply” concerns are behind the weakness, extra pressure is being added this morning from corporate bond issuance.  If bonds follow their…

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Mortgage Rates Relatively Unharmed, Despite Unexpected Moves in Bonds

It was a busy week for economic data with several reports that were pertinent to the housing market. In addition to being the perennial top dog among economic reports, this Friday’s jobs report was especially important due to its role in the Federal Reserve’s decision-making process.

The Fed is widely expected to announce a forthcoming reduction (aka “tapering) of its bond buying program by the end of the year.  If the jobs report had been strong enough, investors thought the Fed might make the announcement a few weeks from now at the September policy meeting.  

 

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MBS RECAP: MBS Outperformance is Part of the Answer to Today’s Riddle

MBS Outperformance is Part of the Answer to Today’s Riddle

When does an obviously weak jobs report result in bonds losing ground?  We already know the answer (spoiler alert: it’s “today”), but the reasons behind the answer are up for debate to some extent.  The focus of the morning’s commentary was to lay most of those reasons out with charts, but as the day progressed, MBS outperformance helped emphasize one of the factors even more.  We discuss that in…

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400,000 Homeowners Enter Final Month in Forbearance

Black Knight estimates that nearly 630,000 forbearance plans, more than one-third of those currently active, are slated for review this month. Of those, 400,000 will have reached the end of their 18 months of forbearance eligibility unless the maximum term is extended again. The end of August saw a significant decline in forbearance numbers as servicers worked through the month’s crop of three-month reviews. Plans declined by 53,000 over the week ended August 31 with more than 23,000 from FHA or VA portfolios. The number of GSE (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) loans dropped by 20,000 and loans serviced for bank portfolios or private label securities (PLS) saw a 10,000 unit decline. The number of plans is down by 9 percent since the end of July.

 

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