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Category: Mortgage News

Mortgage News analysis and perspective from National Mortgage News, an award-winning comprehensive digital resource serving the entire residential mortgage. Fidelity Home Group Mortgage News provides up to the minute mortgage and real estate news including mortgage rates.

MBS Day Ahead: Range-Bound Risks as Rally Hits The Floor

Bonds are starting the day in moderately weaker territory.  In so doing, 10yr yields are rejecting the opportunity to break below the 1.30% technical level.  Notably, they rose above 1.30% just before the 3pm close yesterday (the time of day that holds the most weight for technical analysts in day-over-day terms). It remains to be seen how much 1.30% matters.  It’s been more of a “center of gravity” for a sideways range recently as opposed to a true pivot point (unlike July).  Coincidentally, 1.30% currently lines up with the bottom of the consolidation pattern, and…

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Mortgage Rates Improve Again, Making it Back to Last Week’s Levels

Mortgage rates moved lower again today, with many lenders making it back to the levels seen after last Friday’s jobs report.  In week-over-week terms, rates were still decidedly higher at the beginning of the day.  It wasn’t until the afternoon’s 30yr bond auction that the entire bond market improved enough for mortgage lenders to offer mid-day reprices.  A similar pattern played out yesterday.

Why do Treasury auctions matter to mortgage rates?  Treasuries and MBS (mortgage-backed securities–the bonds that most directly affect mortgage rates) are both part of the bond market.  They correlate quite well for a variety of reasons (not the least of which being that Treasuries are the risk-free starting point against which every dollar-denominated bond investment is measured).  As such, when Treasuries have a good day, MBS (and thus, mortgage rates) tend to have at least a decent day.  Today (like yesterday) was no exception.

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Credit Loosens as New Refi Programs Come on Line

Higher interest rates pushed refinancing lower in August and lenders moved to generate more origination activity. That, in part, led to an increase in overall credit access. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI) gained 3.9 percent to 123.7 during the month. An increase in the index indicates credit is loosening.

The Conventional MCAI increased 7.6 percent, while the Government MCAI grew 1.1 percent. Of the component indices of the Conventional MCAI, the Jumbo MCAI was up 9.4 percent, and the Conforming MCAI rose by 5.1 percent.

“Credit availability increased in August, driven by significant activity across all indexes,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting. “This expansion was heavily driven by the addition of refinance loan programs at a time when the 30-year fixed rate has been above 3 percent for the past month, and refinance activity has trended lower.

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Equity Explosion Bodes Well for Lenders

American homeowners got $20,000 richer in the second quarter just sitting in their family room. Black Knight’s newest Mortgage Monitor says that was the average gain in borrower equity during the quarter as home prices continued to soar.

Tappable equity, the amount available to homeowners before reaching a maximum 80 percent combined loan-to-value (CLTV) ratio, hit a record high total of $9.1 trillion, a $1 trillion increase in a single quarter. The average mortgage holder saw his/her tappable equity grow by $20,000 during that period to a total of $173,000.

The weighted average CLTV for the mortgage market is now 46 percent, the lowest leverage on record. Fewer than 3 percent of mortgaged homeowners have less than 10 percent equity and only 0.6 percent are underwater, both record low figures.

 

 

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MBS RECAP: Strong Auction Trifecta Helps Bonds Hold The Range

Strong Auction Trifecta Helps Bonds Hold The Range

The day began with a relatively bond-friendly European Central Bank announcement falling failing to help Treasuries nearly as much as it helped European bonds.  That was forgivable in light of today’s Treasury auction and ongoing corporate bond supply glut.  After working through the supply and posting stellar stats at auction, bonds finally got the memo.  10yr yields rallied all the way down to the 1.287% …

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Fannie/Freddie Will Develop New Plans for Equitable Financing

The GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, will be required to submit Equitable Housing Finance Plans to their regulator the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) by the end of the year. The plans, which will be updated annually, will identify and address barriers to sustainable housing opportunities for the next three years. FHFA also will require the GSEs to submit annual progress reports on the actions undertaken during the prior year to implement their plans. “For generations, discriminatory practices like redlining have prevented communities of color from building wealth through homeownership,” said FHFA Acting Director Sandra L. Thompson. “By identifying the barriers to equitable and sustainable housing finance opportunities and setting goals for addressing those barriers, the [GSEs], consistent with safety and ?soundness, can responsibly reduce the racial and ethnic disparities in homeownership and wealth that still exist today.”

 

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MBS Day Ahead: ECB Quasi-Tapering Well Received, But Corporate Bonds Push Back

The European Central Bank (ECB) was widely expected to do “something” to tighten up its PEPP (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program) in today’s policy announcement, but they’ve executed it such a way as to trick bonds into viewing it as good news.  EU bonds are having one of their best mornings in weeks–something we might expect to spill over to the US bond market, but that correlation has been imperfect so far as Treasuries still have some anxiety over the looming 30yr bonds auction and ongoing glut of corporate debt issuance.

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In the bigger picture, the consolidation pattern…

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Mortgage Rates Lower Today, But Volatility Remains a Risk

Mortgage rates moved lower today after starting the week by jumping noticeably higher yesterday.  Today’s gains came courtesy of global growth concerns early in the trading session and a strong 10yr Treasury auction during domestic market hours.  This morning’s mortgage rates weren’t too much better than yesterday’s, but several lenders offered mid-day improvements after the Treasury auction.  Lenders who held firm would likely improve tomorrow morning unless overnight market drama undoes today’s gains.

Why do Treasury auctions matter to mortgage rates?  Treasuries and MBS (mortgage-backed securities–the bonds that most directly affect mortgage rates) are both part of the bond market.  They correlate quite well for a variety of reasons (not the least of which being that Treasuries are the risk-free starting point against which every dollar-denominated bond investment is measured).  As such, when Treasuries have a good day, MBS (and thus, mortgage rates) tend to have at least a decent day.  Today was no exception.

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MBS RECAP: 10yr Auction Easily Helps Rates Hold The Range. What Next?

10yr Auction Easily Helps Rates Hold The Range. What Next?

Today’s 10yr auction was exceptionally strong.  In fact, by the time we consider the fairly epic levels of corporate bond issuance and the looming ECB announcement, the auction was actually stronger than the already-strong stats suggested.  Actual trading levels did a good job of splitting the difference with yields most of the way back to last week’s range.  The best that can be said about all of …

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Volumes, Rates Changed Little Heading into Long Weekend

Applications for mortgage financing declined again during the week ended September 3. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Market Composite Index, a measure of application volume, was down 1.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis heading into the Labor Day weekend and was 3 percent lower on an unadjusted basis. The Refinance Index decreased 3 percent from the previous week and was 4 percent below the volume one year ago. Applications for refinancing represented 66.8 percent of the total, unchanged from the week before. Purchase mortgage volume declined slightly with the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index down 0.2 percent. The unadjusted version was 3 percent lower week-over-week and down 18 percent compared to the same week in 2020.  

 

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