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Category: Mortgage Rates

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MBS RECAP: Strong Auction Trifecta Helps Bonds Hold The Range

Strong Auction Trifecta Helps Bonds Hold The Range

The day began with a relatively bond-friendly European Central Bank announcement falling failing to help Treasuries nearly as much as it helped European bonds.  That was forgivable in light of today’s Treasury auction and ongoing corporate bond supply glut.  After working through the supply and posting stellar stats at auction, bonds finally got the memo.  10yr yields rallied all the way down to the 1.287% …

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Fannie/Freddie Will Develop New Plans for Equitable Financing

The GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, will be required to submit Equitable Housing Finance Plans to their regulator the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) by the end of the year. The plans, which will be updated annually, will identify and address barriers to sustainable housing opportunities for the next three years. FHFA also will require the GSEs to submit annual progress reports on the actions undertaken during the prior year to implement their plans. “For generations, discriminatory practices like redlining have prevented communities of color from building wealth through homeownership,” said FHFA Acting Director Sandra L. Thompson. “By identifying the barriers to equitable and sustainable housing finance opportunities and setting goals for addressing those barriers, the [GSEs], consistent with safety and ?soundness, can responsibly reduce the racial and ethnic disparities in homeownership and wealth that still exist today.”

 

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MBS Day Ahead: ECB Quasi-Tapering Well Received, But Corporate Bonds Push Back

The European Central Bank (ECB) was widely expected to do “something” to tighten up its PEPP (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program) in today’s policy announcement, but they’ve executed it such a way as to trick bonds into viewing it as good news.  EU bonds are having one of their best mornings in weeks–something we might expect to spill over to the US bond market, but that correlation has been imperfect so far as Treasuries still have some anxiety over the looming 30yr bonds auction and ongoing glut of corporate debt issuance.

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In the bigger picture, the consolidation pattern…

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Mortgage Rates Lower Today, But Volatility Remains a Risk

Mortgage rates moved lower today after starting the week by jumping noticeably higher yesterday.  Today’s gains came courtesy of global growth concerns early in the trading session and a strong 10yr Treasury auction during domestic market hours.  This morning’s mortgage rates weren’t too much better than yesterday’s, but several lenders offered mid-day improvements after the Treasury auction.  Lenders who held firm would likely improve tomorrow morning unless overnight market drama undoes today’s gains.

Why do Treasury auctions matter to mortgage rates?  Treasuries and MBS (mortgage-backed securities–the bonds that most directly affect mortgage rates) are both part of the bond market.  They correlate quite well for a variety of reasons (not the least of which being that Treasuries are the risk-free starting point against which every dollar-denominated bond investment is measured).  As such, when Treasuries have a good day, MBS (and thus, mortgage rates) tend to have at least a decent day.  Today was no exception.

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MBS RECAP: 10yr Auction Easily Helps Rates Hold The Range. What Next?

10yr Auction Easily Helps Rates Hold The Range. What Next?

Today’s 10yr auction was exceptionally strong.  In fact, by the time we consider the fairly epic levels of corporate bond issuance and the looming ECB announcement, the auction was actually stronger than the already-strong stats suggested.  Actual trading levels did a good job of splitting the difference with yields most of the way back to last week’s range.  The best that can be said about all of …

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Volumes, Rates Changed Little Heading into Long Weekend

Applications for mortgage financing declined again during the week ended September 3. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Market Composite Index, a measure of application volume, was down 1.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis heading into the Labor Day weekend and was 3 percent lower on an unadjusted basis. The Refinance Index decreased 3 percent from the previous week and was 4 percent below the volume one year ago. Applications for refinancing represented 66.8 percent of the total, unchanged from the week before. Purchase mortgage volume declined slightly with the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index down 0.2 percent. The unadjusted version was 3 percent lower week-over-week and down 18 percent compared to the same week in 2020.  

 

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MBS Day Ahead: Stronger Start, But Risk Remains With 10yr Auction and Corporate Bonds

Yesterday marked the weakest weekly opener in several months as bonds built on negative momentum following last week’s jobs report and positioned themselves defensively ahead of this week’s Treasury auction cycle.  A strong 3yr auction had essentially no effect on any portion of the yield curve, but today’s 10yr auction could be a different story.  Yields are several bps lower to start the day.  This raises the risk of a bigger negative reaction if the auction is weak (unless bonds undergo a concessionary sell-off in the hours leading up to the 1pm ET auction results).

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Understand Your Options To Avoid Foreclosure

Understand Your Options To Avoid Foreclosure | Simplifying The Market

Even though experts agree there’s no chance of a large-scale foreclosure crisis, there are a number of homeowners who may be coming face-to-face with foreclosure as a possibility. And while the overall percentage of homeowners at risk is decreasing with time (see graph below), that’s little comfort to those individuals who are facing challenges today.Understand Your Options To Avoid Foreclosure | Simplifying The MarketIf you haven’t taken advantage of the forbearance period, it may be time to research and understand your options. It starts with knowing what foreclosure is. Investopedia defines it like this:

Foreclosure is the legal process by which a lender attempts to recover the amount owed on a defaulted loan by taking ownership of and selling the mortgaged property. Typically, default is triggered when a borrower misses a specific number of monthly payments . . .” 

The good news is, there are alternatives available to help you avoid having to go through the foreclosure process, including:

  • Reinstatement
  • Loan modification
  • Deed-in-lieu of foreclosure
  • Short sale

But before you go down any of those paths, it’s worth seeing if you have enough equity in your home to sell it and protect your investment.

Understand Your Options: Sell Your House

Equity is the difference between what you owe on the home and its market value based on factors like price appreciation.

In today’s real estate market, many homeowners have far more equity in their homes than they realize. Over the last year, buyer demand has been high, but housing supply has been low. That’s led to a substantial increase in home values. When prices rise, so does the amount of equity you have in your house.

According to CoreLogic, on average, homeowners gained $33,400 in equity over the last 12 months, and the average equity on mortgaged homes is now $216,000 (see map below):Understand Your Options To Avoid Foreclosure | Simplifying The MarketSo, what does that mean for you? Over the past year, chances are your home’s value and therefore your equity has risen dramatically. If you’ve been in your home for a while, the mortgage payments you’ve made over time chipped away at the balance of your loan. If your home’s current value is higher than what you still owe on your loan, you may be able to use that increase to your advantage.

Frank Martell, President and CEO of CoreLogic, elaborates on how equity can help:

Homeowner equity has more than doubled over the past decade and become a crucial buffer for many weathering the challenges of the pandemic. These gains have become an important financial tool and boosted consumer confidence in the U.S. housing market.”

Don’t Go at It Alone – Lean on Experts for Advice

To find out what your house is worth in today’s market, work with a local real estate professional. We’ll be able to give you an estimate of what your house could sell for based on recent sales of similar homes in your area. Since home prices are still appreciating, you may be able to sell your house to avoid foreclosure.

If you find out that you have to pursue other options, your agent can help with that too. We’ll be able to connect you with other professionals in the industry, like housing counselors who can look into your unique situation and offer advice on next steps if selling isn’t the best alternative.

Bottom Line

If you’re a homeowner facing hardship, let’s connect to explore your options and see if you can sell your house to avoid foreclosure.

Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters Keeping Current Matters

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MBS RECAP: 3 Times in a Row: Auction Week Bringing The Weakness

3 Times in a Row: Auction Week Bringing The Weakness

Bonds have been consolidating in roughly a 17bp range centered on 10yr yields of 1.30%.  During this consolidation phase, yields have hit the ceiling (1.37+) 3 distinct times.  Each of those bounces corresponds with a Treasury auction cycle.  2 of the 3 examples include follow-through momentum from a poorly received jobs report (with this week being one of the 2).  There’s no way to know if the …

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Mortgage Rates Begin The Week Slightly Higher

Mortgage rates moved slightly higher to begin the holiday-shortened week.  With Labor day being a bank holiday, mortgage lenders were closed yesterday despite much of the world remaining open.  Futures and overseas markets thus had some extra time to distance themselves from Friday’s latest levels.  In today’s case, that distance was in an unfriendly direction for rates.

The damage is minimal in the bigger picture.  On average, lenders are quoting the same rates seen last week, but with slightly higher closing costs today.  Most of the weakness in the underlying bond market is centered on US Treasuries as opposed to the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) that serve as the foundation for mortgage rates.  The Treasury-specific weakness is likely due to the presence of several big Treasury auctions this week in addition to heavy corporate bond issuance (which tends to hurt Treasuries more than MBS).

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