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What’s Really Happening with Home Prices Right Now? What’s really happening with home prices right now? It all depends on where you live. Want the real story for your area? Let’s talk. NMLS ID 1834853 #fidelityhomegroup #floridamortgage #floridamortgagerates #floridamortgagecompany #mortgagetips Data Sources https://www.resiclubanalytics.com/
How Changing Rates Impact Your Monthly Payment Even a small shift in mortgage rates can make a big difference in your monthly payment. Want to stay on top of rate changes and what they mean for your budget? Let’s connect. NMLS ID 1834853 #fidelityhomegroup #floridamortgage #floridamortgagerates #floridamortgagecompany #mortgagetips Data Sources https://www.mortgagecalculator.net/
If you paused your plans to move because of high rates or prices, it may finally be time to take a second look at your numbers. Affordability is improving in 39 of the top 50 markets, according to First American. And that’s the 5th straight month where buying a home has started to get a little bit easier.
Let’s break this down into real dollars, so you can see the difference this could make for you (and your move).
One of the clearest signs of this shift is in monthly payments. The latest data from Redfin shows mortgage payments on a median-priced home are now $283 lower than they were just a few months ago (see graph below):
This kind of monthly savings adds up fast, and totals nearly $3,400 over the course of a year.
While this isn’t enough to completely change the affordability game overnight, think about it this way. When you’re putting together a homebuying budget, a few hundred dollars could be the difference between being comfortable buying and feeling like money’s a bit tight.
And from a home-search perspective, it could even be enough to change the price point you can look at. According to Redfin:
“A borrower with a $3,000 monthly budget can now afford a $468,000 home, about $22,000 more than in June.”
And that’s a big deal if you haven’t found a home you love in your price range yet. It gives you a little more flexibility to find the one that’s right for you.
Either way, that’s a big win.
Two key factors are working in your favor right now:
Both of those things help your bottom line and give you a bit of breathing room if you’re buying a home. As Andy Walden, Head of Mortgage and Housing Market Research at ICE Mortgage Technology, says:
“The recent pullback in rates has created a tailwind for both homebuyers and existing borrowers. We’re seeing affordability at a 2.5-year high . . .”
Whether you’re a first-time homebuyer or someone looking to move-up into a bigger house, the shifts happening this year could make your move possible. Connect with a trusted agent or lender to see what your monthly payment would look like at today’s rates.
For you, the savings could be the difference between “not yet” and “let’s go.”
Affordability is improving in many markets. And that resets the math on your move.
If you’ve been sitting on the sidelines, this is your cue to start looking again. Connect with a local agent or trusted lender to run the numbers together so you can get a rough estimate of how much more buying power you may have than you did just a few months ago.
#fidelityhomegroup, #floridamortgage, #floridamortgagerates, #mortgageflorida
After a couple of years where the housing market felt stuck in neutral, 2026 may be the year things shift back into gear. Expert forecasts show more people are expected to move – and that could open the door for you to do the same.
With all of the affordability challenges at play over the past few years, many would-be movers pressed pause. But that pause button isn’t going to last forever. There are always people who need to move. And experts think more of them will start to act in 2026 (see graph below):
What’s behind the change? Two key factors: mortgage rates and home prices. Let’s dive into the latest expert forecasts for both, so you can see why more people are expected to move next year.
The #1 thing just about every buyer has been looking for is lower mortgage rates. And after peaking near 7% earlier this year, rates have started to ease.
The latest forecasts show that could continue throughout 2026, but it won’t be a straight line down (see graph below):
There’s a saying: when rates go up, they take the escalator. But when they come down, they take the stairs. And that’s an important thing to remember. It’ll be a slow and bumpy process.
Expect modest improvement in mortgage rates over the next year but be ready for some volatility. There will be volatility along the way as new economic data comes out. Just don’t let it distract you from the bigger picture: the overall trend will be a slight decline. Forecasts say we could hit the low 6s, or maybe even the high 5s.
And remember, there doesn’t have to be a big drop for you to feel a change. Even a smaller dip helps your bottom line.
If you compare where rates are now to when they were at 7% earlier this year, you’re already saving hundreds on your future mortgage payment. And that’s a really good thing. It’s enough to make a real difference in affordability for some buyers.
What about prices? On a national scale, forecasts say they’re still going to rise, just not by a lot. With rates down from their peak earlier this year, more buyers will re-enter the market. And that increased demand will keep some upward pressure on prices nationally – and prevent prices from tumbling down.
So, even though some markets are already seeing slight price declines, you can rest easy that a big crash just isn’t in the cards. Thanks to how much prices rose over the last 5 years, even the markets seeing declines right now are still up compared to just a few years ago.
Of course, price trends will depend on where you are and what’s happening in your local market. Inventory is a big driver in why some places are going to see varying levels of appreciation going forward. But experts agree we’ll see prices grow at the national level (see graph below):
This is yet another good sign for buyers and overall affordability. While prices will still go up nationally, it’ll be at a much more sustainable pace. And that predictability makes it easier to plan your budget. It also gives you peace of mind that prices won’t suddenly skyrocket overnight.
After a quieter couple of years, 2026 is expected to bring more movement – and more opportunity. With sales projected to rise, mortgage rates trending lower, and price growth slowing down, the stage is set for a healthier, more active market.
So, the big question: will you be one of the movers making 2026 your year?
Connect with an agent if you want to get ready.
#fidelityhomegroup, #floridamortgage, #floridamortgagerates, #mortgageflorida
Almost Half of Sellers Are Making Concessions To Get Their House Sold Almost half of sellers are making concessions right now to get their house sold. If you want to know which concessions are working for sellers in our market, reach out. NMLS ID 1834853 #fidelityhomegroup #floridamortgage #floridamortgagerates #floridamortgagecompany #mortgagetips Data Sources https://www.redfin.com/news/home-seller-concessions-march-2025/
2 Advantages of Buying a Newly Built Home Today Since there are more new homes on the market, builders are motivated to sell and that’s leading to two great perks: price cuts and lower rates. Let’s connect if you want to see what builders are offering in our area. NMLS ID 1834853 #fidelityhomegroup #floridamortgage #floridamortgagerates #floridamortgagecompany #mortgagetips Data Sources https://www.nahb.org/news-and-economics/housing-economics/indices/housing-market-index https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/chart-mortgage-rate-new-home-buy-down/ https://www.realtor.com/research/new-construction-insights-2025q1
Home Price Forecasts for the Second Half of 2025 The expert forecasts for the second half of the year show home prices are still forecast to rise nationally – just at a much slower pace. But that’s going to vary by local market. If you want to know what’s happening with prices in our area, let’s connect! NMLS ID 1834853 #fidelityhomegroup #floridamortgage #floridamortgagerates #floridamortgagecompany #mortgagetips #housingforecast
The Latest Mortgage Rate Forecasts f you’re tempted to wait for rates to come down before you buy a home, here’s what you should know. Based on expert forecasts, mortgage rates are expected to stay in the 6s this year. Let’s talk about what this means for your move and how to factor this into your plans. NMLS ID 1834853 #fidelityhomegroup #floridamortgage #floridamortgagerates #floridamortgagecompany #mortgagetips #mortgagerates Data Sources https://www.fanniemae.com/media/55871/display https://img03.en25.com/Web/MortgageBankersAssociation/%7B76e5d77f-5cae-41d3-8cdc-ab508f86a6bc%7D_Mortgage_Finance_Forecast_June_2025.pdf
You want mortgage rates to fall – and they’ve started to. But is it going to last? And how low will they go?
Experts say there’s room for rates to come down even more over the next year. And one of the leading indicators to watch is the 10-year treasury yield. Here’s why.
For over 50 years, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has closely followed the movement of the 10-year treasury yield, which is a widely watched benchmark for long-term interest rates (see graph below):
When the treasury yield climbs, mortgage rates tend to follow. And when the yield falls, mortgage rates typically come down.
It’s been a predictable pattern for over 50 years. So predictable, that there’s a number experts consider normal for the gap between the two. It’s known as the spread, and it usually averages about 1.76 percentage points, or what you sometimes hear as 176 basis points.
Over the past couple of years, though, that spread has been much wider than normal. Why? Think of the spread as a measure of fear in the market. When there’s lingering uncertainty in the economy, the gap widens beyond its usual norm. That’s one of the reasons why mortgage rates have been unusually high over the past few years.
But here’s a sign for optimism. Even though there’s still some lingering uncertainty related to the economy, that spread is starting to shrink as the path forward is becoming clearer (see graph below):
And that opens the door for mortgage rates to come down even more. As a recent article from Redfin explains:
“A lower mortgage spread equals lower mortgage rates. If the spread continues to decline, mortgage rates could fall more than they already have.”
It’s not just the spread, though. The 10-year treasury yield itself is also forecast to come down in the months ahead. So, when you combine a lower yield with a narrowing spread, you have two key forces potentially pushing mortgage rates down going into next year.
This long-term relationship is a big reason why you see experts currently projecting mortgage rates will ease, with a fringe possibility they’ll hit the upper 5s toward the end of next year.
Here’s how it works. Take the 10-year treasury yield, which is sitting at about 4.09% at the time this article is being written, and then add the average spread of 1.76%. From there, you’d expect mortgage rates to be around 5.85% (see graph below):
But remember, all of that can change as the economy shifts. And know for certain that there will be ups and downs along the way.
How these dynamics play out will depend on where the economy, the job market, inflation, and more go from here. But the 2026 outlook is currently expected to be a gradual mortgage rate decline. And as of now, things are starting to move in the right direction.
Keeping up with all of these shifts can feel overwhelming. That’s why having an experienced agent or lender on your side matters. They’ll do the heavy lifting for you.
If you want real-time updates on mortgage rates, reach out to a trusted agent or lender who can keep you in the loop and help you plan your next move.
#fidelityhomegroup, #floridamortgage, #floridamortgagerates, #mortgageflorida
The 5-Year Rule for Home Prices Are you worried about home prices? Here’s what you should know. In most areas, home prices are still way up compared to 5 years ago – even with the recent shifts. Let’s look at what prices are doing in our market, so you have the full picture. NMLS ID 1834853 #fidelityhomegroup #floridamortgage #floridamortgagerates #floridamortgagecompany #mortgagetips Data Sources https://www.resiclubanalytics.com/p/80-housing-markets-falling-home-prices-may-2025