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Category: Mortgage News

Mortgage News analysis and perspective from National Mortgage News, an award-winning comprehensive digital resource serving the entire residential mortgage. Fidelity Home Group Mortgage News provides up to the minute mortgage and real estate news including mortgage rates.

MBS Morning: With 1 Day Left, Pre-Fed Range Remains Intact

Trading ranges and consolidation patterns can make for tedious discussion when they’re well-behaved for weeks on end.  We began discussing the current example in mid-August when the 1.38% ceiling was first rejected.  The following week suggested it was less of a “range” and more of a consolidation pattern–a theme that dominated the analysis ever since.  Despite a valiant attempt after last week’s CPI data and yesterday’s snowball risk-off rally (thanks Evergrande?), today begins with yields safely inside the same old range.  Barring another unexpected…

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MBS RECAP: Surprise Snowball Rally as Stocks Swoon Over Global Risks

Surprise Snowball Rally as Stocks Swoon Over Global Risks

When it comes to stocks vs bonds, pundits generally give too much credit to one side for movement in the other.  In fact, on days with big movement in both markets, it’s not uncommon to see stock people blaming the bond market and bond people blaming the stock market.  In today’s case, the bond rally wasn’t even in the same league as the bond sell-off, and the latter was clearly the flag-bearer for…

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Builder Sentiment Moves Slightly Higher, but Many Still See Hurdles Ahead

Builder confidence edged its way higher in September, ending a three-month slump. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reports that the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) rose a single point to 76 in September. The HMI is a measure of home builder attitudes toward the new home sales market. NAHB chief economist Robert Dietz says, “Builder sentiment has been gradually cooling since the HMI hit an all-time high reading of 90 last November. The September data show stability as some building material cost challenges ease, particularly for softwood lumber. However, delivery times remain extended and the chronic construction labor shortage is expected to persist as the overall labor market recovers.”

 

 

 

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MBS Day Ahead: What is Evergrande and Why Do Bonds Care?

Evergrande is a Chinese real estate company that has been circling the drain for months.  During that time, press reports increasingly suggest that Evergrande’s collapse could have some measure of systemic impact given the vast amount of money it owes to other institutions.  Several of the likely-to-default bonds are due this week and so far, there is no word on anything resembling a bailout from the Chinese government.  Some of the most alarming opinions have suggested this is China’s “Lehman moment,” but there’s plenty of pushback against that thesis. 

Still, the…

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MBS Morning: What is Evergrande and Why Do Bonds Care?

Evergrande is a Chinese real estate company that has been circling the drain for months.  During that time, press reports increasingly suggest that Evergrande’s collapse could have some measure of systemic impact given the vast amount of money it owes to other institutions.  Several of the likely-to-default bonds are due this week and so far, there is no word on anything resembling a bailout from the Chinese government.  Some of the most alarming opinions have suggested this is China’s “Lehman moment,” but there’s plenty of pushback against that thesis. 

Still, the…

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Is It Time To Move on to a New Home?

Is It Time To Move on to a New Home? | Simplifying The Market

If you’ve been in your home for longer than five years, you’re not alone. According to recent data from First American, homeowners are staying put much longer than historical averages (see graph below):Is It Time To Move on to a New Home? | Simplifying The MarketAs the graph shows, before 2008, homeowners sold their houses after an average of just five years. Today, that number has more than doubled to over 10 years. The housing industry refers to this as your tenure.

To really explore tenure, it’s important to understand what drives people to make a move. An article from The Balance explores some of the primary reasons individuals choose to sell their houses. It says:

“People who move for home-related reasons might need a larger home or a house that better fits their needs, . . . Financial reasons for moving include wanting a nicer home, moving to a newer home to avoid making repairs on the old one, or cashing in on existing equity.”

If you’ve been in your home for longer than the norm, chances are you’re putting off addressing one, if not several, of the reasons other individuals choose to move. If this sounds like you, here are a few things to consider:

If your needs have changed, it may be time to re-evaluate your home.

As the past year has shown, our needs can change rapidly. That means the longer you’ve been in your home, the more likely it is your needs have evolved. The Balance notes several personal factors that could lead to your home no longer meeting your needs, including relationship and job changes.

For example, many workers recently found out they’ll be working remotely indefinitely. If that’s the case for you, you may need more space for a dedicated home office. Other homeowners choose to sell because the number of people living under their roof changes. Now more than ever, we’re spending more and more time at home. As you do, consider if your home really delivers on what you need moving forward.

It’s often financially beneficial to sell your house and move.

One of the biggest benefits of homeownership is the equity your home builds over time. If you’ve been in your house for several years, you may not realize how much equity you have. According to the latest Homeowner Equity Report from CoreLogic, homeowners gained an average of $33,400 in equity over the past year.

That equity, plus today’s low mortgage rates, can fuel a major upgrade when you sell your home and purchase a new one. Or, if you’re looking to downsize, your equity can help provide a larger down payment and lower your monthly payments over the life of your next loan. No matter what, there are significant financial benefits to selling in today’s market.

Bottom Line

If you’ve been in your home for 5-10 years or more, now might be the time to explore your options. Today’s low rates and your built-up equity could provide you with the opportunity to address your evolving needs. If you feel it’s time to sell, let’s connect.

Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters Keeping Current Matters

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MBS RECAP: Traders Move to Sidelines Ahead of Fed Announcement

Traders Move to Sidelines Ahead of Fed Announcement

September’s big Fed announcement doesn’t hit until next Wednesday, but it’s not too early for markets to freak out about it a little bit.  The fear is expressed in the form of a move to the sidelines for both stocks and bonds.  In other words, both sides of the market sold off today.  Treasuries fared a bit better, and MBS fared better still (2.0 coupons only dropped an eighth of a point by…

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Rates at 2-Month Highs Ahead of Fed Week

Mortgage rates ended the week at the highest levels in roughly 2 months as investors moved to the sidelines ahead of next week’s Fed announcement.

In other words, investors sold bonds (among other things) and in the bond market, selling pressure means lower prices and higher rates, all other things being equal. 

Despite the poor finish, things started out well enough.  The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation report, came out lower than expected on Tuesday.  With inflation being an important consideration for the bond market at the moment, the reaction was obvious.  Unfortunately, it was also short-lived.

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New Forbearance Plans and Reentries Rise

Black Knight says that the number of active forbearance plans continued to fall over the last week, but also noted an uptick in both new plans and reentries to the program, primarily among VA and FHA loans. The number of active forbearances dropped by 22,000 or 1.4 percent during the week ended September 14, leasing 1.596 million borrowers in active plans. This is 3.0 percent of all mortgaged homeowners. It marks the first time the total number has dipped below 1.6 million. The number of forborne loan in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs) portfolios and those serviced for FHA and the VA each declined by 15,000, but that was partially offset by an increase of 8,000 in the numbers serviced for bank portfolios and private label securities (PLS).

 

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Flipping Transactions Increase, Profits Do Not

The number of homes flipped by investors grew by 3.5 percent in the second quarter of the year. It was the first increase in more than a year. ATTOM says its second quarter U.S. Home Flipping Report shows that 79,733 single-family homes and condominiums in the United States were flipped during that period. Those transactions represented 4.9 percent of all home sales, or one in 20 transactions compared to one in every 29 sales in the first quarter. Flips were down 6.8 percent from one in 15 transactions in the second quarter of 2020. The recent number was lower than the flipping rate through most of the last decade.

 

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