Available 7 Days/Week       MON - FRI  8am - 7pm       SAT - SUN  10am – 6pm
Call us (888) 259-2257
Apply Now

What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market?

What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market? | Simplifying The Market

According to a recent survey from the Wall Street Journal, the percentage of economists who believe we’ll see a recession in the next 12 months is growing. When surveyed in July 2021, only 12% of economists consulted thought there’d be a recession by now. But this July, when polled, 49% believe we will see a recession in the coming 12 months.

And as more recession talk fills the air, one concern many people have is: should I delay my homeownership plans if there’s a recession?

Here’s a look at historical data to show what happened in real estate during previous recessions to help prove why you shouldn’t be afraid of what a recession would mean for the housing market today.

A Recession Doesn’t Mean Falling Home Prices

To show that home prices don’t fall every time there’s a recession, it helps to turn to historical data. As the graph below illustrates, looking at the recessions going all the way back to 1980, home prices appreciated in four of the last six recessions. So, historically, when the economy slows down, it doesn’t mean home values will fall.

What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market? | Simplifying The Market

Most people remember the housing crisis in 2008 (the larger of the two red bars in the graph above) and think another recession would repeat what happened then. But this housing market isn’t about to crash. The fundamentals are very different today than they were in 2008. So, don’t assume we’re heading down the same path.

A Recession Means Falling Mortgage Rates

Research also helps paint the picture of how a recession could impact the cost of financing a home. As the chart below shows, historically, each time the economy slowed down, mortgage rates decreased.

What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market? | Simplifying The Market

Fortune explains that mortgage rates typically fall during an economic slowdown:

Over the past five recessions, mortgage rates have fallen an average of 1.8 percentage points from the peak seen during the recession to the trough. And in many cases, they continued to fall after the fact as it takes some time to turn things around even when the recession is technically over.”

And while history doesn’t always repeat itself, we can learn from and find comfort in the historical data.

Bottom Line

There’s no doubt everyone remembers what happened in the housing market in 2008. But you don’t need to fear the word recession if you’re planning to buy or sell a home. According to historical data, in most recessions, home price gains have stayed strong, and mortgage rates have declined.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling a home, let’s connect so you have expert advice on what’s happening in the housing market and what that means for your homeownership goals.

Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters

#fidelityhomegroup, #floridamortgage, #floridamortgagerates, #mortgageflorida

   


Copyright © 2022 Fidelity Home Group supports Equal Housing Opportunity | All Right Reserved  | NMLS Identifier 1834853. Fidelity Home Group is not affiliated with the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) or the Federal Housing Administration (FHA). Fidelity Home Group is a Mortgage Corporation serving the state of Florida. Not intended for legal or financial advice, consult your own professionals if such advice is sought. This site is not authorized by the New York State Department of Financial Services. No mortgage loan applications for properties in the state of New York will be accepted through this site. Accessibility Statement  | Consent to Receive Electronic Loan Documents  |  Cookies Policy   |  Disclosures  | Email and Mobile PolicyFair Lending Policy  |  File a Complaint Mortgage Assumptions  |  NMLS Consumer Access  |  Privacy Policy  |  Terms of Use 

florida mortgage, florida mortgage rates, florida mortgage claculator, florida mortgage broker, florida mortgage lender, florida mortgage compamny, mortgage broker near me, mortgage brokers near me, orlando mortgage, orlando mortgage rates, the villages mortgage, the villages mortgage rates, the villages mortgage lender, the villages mortgage broker, naples mortgage, naples mortgage rates, naples mortgage lender, naples mortgage broker, florida keys mortgage, florida keys mortgage rates, florida keys mortrgage lender, florida keys mortgage broker, cape coral mortgage, cape coral mortgage rates, fort myers mortgage, cape coral mortgage lender, cape coral mortgage broker, fort myers mortgage rates, fort mayer mortgage, fort myers mortgage lender, fort myers mortgage broker, sanible island mortgage, sanibel island mortgage rates, sanibel mortgage lender, sanibel mortgage broker, anna maria island mortgage, anna maria island mortgage rates, anna marie mortgage lender, anna maria mortgage broker, clearwater mortgage, clearwater mortgage rates, clearwater mortgage lender, clearwater mortgage broker, bonita springs mortgage, bonita springs mortgage rates, bonita springs mortgage lender, bonita springs mortgage broker, marco island mortgage, marco island mortgage rates, marco island mortgage lender, marco island mortgage broker, st. augustine mortgage, st augustine mortgage rates, st. augustine mortgage lender, st. augustine mortgage broker, st. augustine beach mortgage, st. augustine beach mortgage rates, st. augustine beach mortgage lender, st. augustine beach mortgage broker, tampa Bay mortgage, tampa bay mortgage rates, tampe bay mortgage lender, tampa bay mortgage broker, st. petersburg mortgage, st. petersburg mortgage rates, st. petersburg mortgage lendser, st. petersburg mortgage broker, bradenton mortgage, bradenton mortgage rates, bradenton mortgage lender, bradenton mortgage broker, bradenton beach mortgage, bradenton beach mortgage rates, bradenton beach mortgage lender, brandenton beach mortgage broker, sarasota mortgage, sarasota mortgage rates, sarasota mortgage lender, sarasota mortgage broker, longboat key mortgage, longboat key mortgage rates, long boat key mortgage lender, long boat key mortgage broekr, key west mortgage, key west mortgage rates, key west mortgage broker, key west mortgage lender, key largo mortgage, key largo mortgage rates, key largo mortgage lender, key largo mortgage broker, isalamorada mortgage, islamorada mortgage rates, islamorada mortgage lender, islamorada mortgage broker, big pine key mortgage, big pine key mortgage rates, big pine key mortgage lender, big pine key mortgage broker, marathon fl mortgage, marathon fl mortgage rates, marathon fl mortgage lender, marathon fl mortgage broker, upper keys mortgage, upper keys mortgage rates, upper key mortgage lender, upper keys mortgage broker, lower keys mortgage, lower keys mortgage rates, lower key mortgage lender, lower keys mortgage broker, apalachicola mortgage, apalachicola mortgage rates, apalachicola mortgage lender, apalachicola mortgage broker, st. geoerge island mortgage, st. geoerge mortgage rates, panama city mortgage, st. geoerge island mortgage lender, st. geoerge island mortgage broker, panama city mortgage rates, panama city mortgage, panama city mortgage lender, panama city mortgage broker, panama city beach mortgage, panama city beach mortgage rates, panama city beach mortgage lender, panama city beach mortgage broker,

Fidelity Home Group
4700 Millenia Blvd Suite 175, Orlando, FL 32839

Hours of Operation:

Monday - Friday 8am to 7pm EST
Saturday - Sunday 10am to 6 pm EST